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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2024

Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 63.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

In regard to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's superb 116.5 points per game on the road rates 10th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup against James Wiseman is a good one; he has given up a monstrous 15.9 points per game at home when guarding other starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 7thworst in in the league while on the road with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jonas Valanciunas stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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