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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

The Pacers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 90.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 9.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile).

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Pelicans.

The number of shots from the field against Myles Turner has been very low (8.5 per game) when playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.

Jonas Valanciunas will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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