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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 63.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year when playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive boards per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 93.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 11.9% more than he's made overall this season.

The matchup against the Knicks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (95th percentile).

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league away from home this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

When defending fellow starting Cs, Jericho Sims ranks in the 3rd percentile with just 1.2 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.

The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pelicans.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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