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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 56.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 55.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 27.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season when playing at home.

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for scoring; their opposition has totaled the 3rd-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (40.1).

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a difficult one for shots from downtown; when Holmgren is on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have averaged a measly 0.3 3-pointers per game (3rd percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year, opposing squads have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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