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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 87th percentile for shooting ability with a a terrific 56.7% rate this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 12.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.

The clash with Nick Richards measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs averaging a colossal 17.5 points per game this year.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year in terms of treys.

The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

Over the last 20 games when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 22.7 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) against the Hornets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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