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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 82nd percentile for shooting prowess on the road with a a remarkable 54.2% rate this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 62.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 25.3% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.

The number of shots scored against Dereck Lively II has been remarkably high (6.4 per game) when he is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

The Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 14.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a decline in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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