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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-121/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has made 53.6% of his shot attempts from the field without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have shot 33.6% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 84.4% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 7.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

When guarding fellow starting Cs, Dwight Powell rates in the 13th percentile with only 9.4 shots from the field against him per game this year.

The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).

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