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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 62.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

The number of points logged against Kevon Looney has been quite high (16.4 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games at home, which should increase plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

With the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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