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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 79th percentile for field goal efficiency without the home court advantage with a a very good 52.7% rate this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should raise plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 9thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing teams have collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).

The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; the other team has put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home (39.7%).

The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.0 treys per game (7th percentile).

The Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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