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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 87th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a phenomenal 56.2% rate this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The rate of threes sunk against Anthony Davis has been quite high (56.7%) when he is on the road and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 78th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, logging a whopping 3.0 free throws per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game this year.
  • The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Without the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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