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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 56.9% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jonas Valanciunas will likely see a spike in efficiency across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 15th percentile for three-point efficiency on his home court with a a feeble 21.5% rate this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this season.

With respect to shots from downtown, the Pelicans's subpar 35.7% rate of converted threes while at home places 9th-weakest in the league this year.

The clash with Walker Kessler slots into the 3rd percentile with rival starting Cs burying only 8.3% of their three-point attempts this year when they have the home court advantage.

The Jazz have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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