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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 63.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's converted overall this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

In regard to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 126.8 points per game places 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Cavaliers are at home, their opposition has totaled the 4th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.2).

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a good one; he has allowed a colossal 15.0 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

When playing at home, the Cavaliers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when Allen is on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Jonas Valanciunas stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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