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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 81st percentile for field goal ability when playing away from home with a a very good 52.8% rate this year.

The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one; when the Spurs are at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (17.0).

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Pelicans.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.3 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Pelicans's subpar 10.6 drained threes per game while playing away from home places 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Jonas Valanciunas is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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