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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 52.0% mark, Jonas Valanciunas's shooting proficiency has spiked this year to 60.7%.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas should see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 33.1% rate, Jonas Valanciunas's three-point proficiency has declined this year to 20.0%.

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Pelicans's subpar 10.8 converted threes per game places 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are at home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.5).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Pelicans.

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