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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 52.0% clip, Jonas Valanciunas's scoring ability has increased this season to 56.4%.

The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Philadelphia 76ers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.8).

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Jonas Valanciunas will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 33.1% clip, Jonas Valanciunas's 3-point prowess has declined this year to 25.7%.

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.9 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).

The Pelicans check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the 76ers are on the road (12th-least in the league).

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