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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 25th percentile (low is good!) for off-target 3-point shots with the home court advantage, compiling a measly 1.2 per game this year.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the league this year (the LA Clippers).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year.
  • The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a massive 3.9 free throws per game this year (22nd-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
  • As it relates to three-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans.
  • This year, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied 4.2 field goals per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, designating this as a tough matchup.
  • The LA Clippers have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jonas Valanciunas ought to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories due to playing away from hom in this game.

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