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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 7.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home.
  • The Pelicans check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Pelicans.
  • The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 1.3 three attempts per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a hard matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are at home (14th-least in the league).

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