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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pelicans rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

The 3rd-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

This year, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled 11.1 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a difficult matchup for offensive output.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made just 1.5 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.3 rate last season.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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