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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 22nd-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.2).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • In regard to drawing fouls, the Pelicans's remarkable 24.2 free throw attempts per game measures as the 10th-best in the NBA this year.
  • Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 54.9% mark, Jonas Valanciunas's field goal effectiveness has regressed this season to 49.3%.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 20th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 2.3 per game this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, posting a whopping 0.1 fouls per game at home this year.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the New Orleans Pelicans rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

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