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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 32.0% on 3-pointers (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

Compared to last season's 85.0% rate, Jonas Valanciunas's free-throw performance has surged this season to 91.7%.

As a team, the Pelicans have been terrific at getting to the foul line on their home court: 10th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 24.4 free throws per game.

Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 54.9% mark, Jonas Valanciunas's field goal prowess has decreased this season to 48.8%.

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for field goal attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (8.8).

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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