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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last year's 82.1% mark, Jonas Valanciunas's free-throw prowess has increased this year to 93.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made a measly 4.4 buckets per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.7 rate last year.

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

In terms of scoring, the Pelicans's unimpressive 108.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the league this year.

This matchup is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are playing at home, opposing squads have compiled the 9th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them since the start of last season (48.1%).

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled 12.6 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.

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