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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 54.3% of his field goals while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting Cs have scored 17.0 points per game (24th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has made 2.3 free throws per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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