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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 54.6% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

The 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 2.3 free throws per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

As a team, the Pelicans have been very successful at drawing fouls as the home team: 10th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying 24.5 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.

The Pelicans have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 7th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.3).

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Jonas Valanciunas will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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