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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup against the Thunder is a strong one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (65.8%).
  • The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.
  • The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.3 foul shots per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA).
  • Jonas Valanciunas will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increases player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has attempted just 10.3 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 12.6 rate last season.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Away from home, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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