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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 16.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
  • The Spurs have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jonas Valanciunas will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has attempted a measly 10.2 field goals per game this year, significantly lower than his 12.6 rate last year.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has played just 24.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 29.7 minutes per game last season.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (94th percentile).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games at home.
  • The matchup against the Spurs is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.3).

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