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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 7.7 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. Mike Muscala is a positive one for scoring; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 68.3% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Mike Muscala is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Muscala is at home and defending fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Jonas Valanciunas will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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