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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has converted 62.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 61.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 26.6% higher than he's made overall this season.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (95th percentile).
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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