Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 62.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 25.3% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
When defending other starting Cs, Dereck Lively II rates in the 86th percentile with an enormous 2.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 14.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a decline in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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