Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 38.2% clip, Jonas Valanciunas's 3-point efficiency has increased this season to 47.7%.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged 54.8% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a good matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 12 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league while on their home court this year has been the Pelicans.
This year, opposing teams have captured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (lengthening possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).
Jonas Valanciunas should suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

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