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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have brought down 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).
  • Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 33.1% rate, Jonas Valanciunas's three-point performance has regressed this season to 22.5%.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
  • The Pelicans rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year as it relates to three-pointers.
  • The matchup vs. San Antonio is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Spurs are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 8th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.4).

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