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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 39.7% of his treys this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Pelicans check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

This year when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas will likely see a spike in effectiveness for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 2.3 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 84th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 10th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (0.4).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the New Orleans Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the league as the road team with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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