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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 42.1% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 32.0% on 3-pointers (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, marking this as a challenging matchup.
  • Since the start of last season, opposing starting Cs have averaged 0.6 three-pointers per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
  • Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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