Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nuggets).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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