Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Warriors).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 5thworst in in the league with just 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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