Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 19 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league as the home team with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.1 fouls per game at home this year.
The Pelicans are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

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