Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 11:23 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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