John Collins Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has totaled a terrific 2.7 offensive boards per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 offensive boards per game last year.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 18 games away from home.
The Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins slots into the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
Away from their home court, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
John Collins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

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