John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2026

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 5, 2026

Updated Jan 6, 2026 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The LA Clippers have been the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, creating a positive matchup.
The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are on the road (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.
The LA Clippers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).
The LA Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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