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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of scoring, the Clippers's remarkable 50.6% field goal percentage playing at home comes in as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the league) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a positive matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the LA Clippers.
  • The Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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