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John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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John Collins has attempted 4.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.John Collins has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.The Jazz rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).John Collins has converted a whopping 90.2% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 75.7 mark last year.Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, John Collins comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.7 fouls per game at home this year.In regard to offense, the Utah Jazz's subpar 111.1 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.This year, opposing starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.The Jazz have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
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