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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/30/2025

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 55.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year.

John Collins has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.

The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins has made a terrific 91.5% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit more than his 75.7 rate last year.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, John Collins measures in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's feeble 108.6 points per game with the home court advantage places 4th-lowest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team.

The Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

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