John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jazz · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has converted 53.6% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
John Collins has made 55.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
The clash with Noah Clowney ranks in the 89th percentile with opposing starting PFs burying a massive 43.3% of their attempts from downtown this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, John Collins places in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Utah Jazz's unimpressive 110.4 points per game places 10th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
John Collins will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production across the board.

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