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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2024

LA Clippers vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has sunk 57.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted from three overall this season.

The 7th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 9th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

John Collins has made 98.3% of his free throws when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup against the Clippers is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

In terms of shooting, the Jazz's lackluster 109.9 points per game measures as the 9th-lowest in the league this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Clippers are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.9).

The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Jazz.

John Collins figures to suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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