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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, John Collins lands in the 86th percentile for field goal performance with a terrific 55.0% rate this year.
  • John Collins has converted 63.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 23.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
  • The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (52.6%).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • John Collins has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (96th percentile).
  • With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 109.7 points per game comes in as the 8th-fewest in the league this year.
  • The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
  • The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • The matchup against the Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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