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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home.

The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz.

The Jazz will likely see a spike in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 18.8 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, John Collins lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.

In regard to treys, the Utah Jazz's subpar 34.9% rate of successful threes while playing away from home measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

When guarding fellow starting Cs, Clint Capela rates in the 3rd percentile with just 1.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

This year, their opposition has snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

John Collins will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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