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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Utah Jazz vs Milwaukee Bucks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has successfully made 60.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 7.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.

The number of shot attempts from the field against Bobby Portis has been remarkably high (12.3 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 4th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Jazz.

The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has successfully made 20.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 11.7% lower than he's sunk in all games this year.

John Collins has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

Over the last 15 games, the other team has averaged 38.6% on three-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a positive matchup.

The matchup vs. Bobby Portis is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game (7th percentile).

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