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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/30/2024

New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -151.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has sunk 60.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
  • The Utah Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year, opposing clubs have captured 10.2 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark further opportunities for offense).
  • John Collins has made 78.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year while playing on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • The rate of threes sunk against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably low (19.7%) when he is at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
  • The Utah Jazz are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
  • As a team, the Utah Jazz have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line on the road: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 20.8 free throw attempts per game.
  • John Collins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production across the board.

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