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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 59.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

The number of field goals hit against Nick Richards has been very high (7.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

The Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Hornets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Utah Jazz rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.

The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted a whopping 24.4 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

John Collins should suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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