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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2024

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 61.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.0% higher than he's converted overall this season.

The Jazz have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Utah Jazz.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Jazz have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year.

The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a challenging one; he has given up a measly 11.5 points per game while on his home court when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (15th percentile).

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted an enormous 27.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (most in the league).

John Collins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production across the board.

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