John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made 69.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
This year, opposing clubs have totaled 28.4 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a difficult matchup.
The faceoff with Myles Turner ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs logging a massive 17.7 points per game this year when they are playing at home.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, John Collins rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Utah Jazz have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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